Tweeting the terror: modelling the social media reaction to the Woolwich terrorist attack

Pete Burnap, Matthew L. Williams, Luke Sloan, Omer Rana, William Housley, Adam Edwards, Vincent Knight, Rob Procter, Alexander Voss

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Little is currently known about the factors that promote the propagation of information in online social networks following terrorist events. In this paper we took the case of the terrorist event in Woolwich, London in 2013 and built models to predict information flow size and survival using data derived from the popular social networking site Twitter. We define information flows as the propagation over time of information posted to Twitter via the action of retweeting. Following a comparison with different predictive methods, and due to the distribution exhibited by our dependent size measure, we used the zerotruncated negative binomial (ZTNB) regression method. To model survival, the Cox regression technique was used because it estimates proportional hazard rates for independent measures. Following a principal component analysis
to reduce the dimensionality of the data, social, temporal and content factors of the tweet were used as predictors in both models. Given the likely emotive
Original languageEnglish
Article number206
Number of pages14
JournalSocial Network Analysis and Mining
Volume4
Issue number1
Early online date13 Jun 2014
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2014

Keywords

  • Social network analysis
  • Twitter
  • Information flows
  • Information propagation
  • Information spreading
  • Social media
  • Sentiment analysis
  • Opinion mining
  • Predictive models

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