The method of thought experiments: probability and counterfactuals

Franz Berto, Aybüke Özgün

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We find a simple counterfactual acceptable, it is argued, to the extent that (i) our probability of the consequent under the thought experiment of counterfactually supposing the antecedent is high, (ii) provided the latter is on-topic with respect to the former. Counterfactual supposition is represented by Lewisian imaging. Topicality, by an algebra of subject matters. A topic-sensitive probabilistic logic is then provided, to reason about the acceptability of simple counterfactuals.
Original languageEnglish
JournalJournal of Philosophy
Publication statusAccepted/In press - 10 Jul 2024

Keywords

  • Conditionals
  • Counterfactuals
  • Probability

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'The method of thought experiments: probability and counterfactuals'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this