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The IPCC’s reductive Common Era temperature history

  • Jan Esper
  • , Jason E. Smerdon*
  • , Kevin J. Anchukaitis
  • , Kathryn Allen
  • , Edward R. Cook
  • , Rosanne D’Arrigo
  • , Sébastien Guillet
  • , Fredrik C. Ljungqvist
  • , Frederick Reinig
  • , Lea Schneider
  • , Michael Sigl
  • , Markus Stoffel
  • , Mirek Trnka
  • , Rob Wilson
  • , Ulf Büntgen
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Common Era temperature variability has been a prominent component in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports over the last several decades and was twice featured in their Summary for Policymakers. A single reconstruction of mean Northern Hemisphere temperature variability was first highlighted in the 2001 Summary for Policymakers, despite other estimates that existed at the time. Subsequent reports assessed many large-scale temperature reconstructions, but the entirety of Common Era temperature history in the most recent Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was restricted to a single estimate of mean annual global temperatures. We argue that this focus on a single reconstruction is an insufficient summary of our understanding of temperature variability over the Common Era. We provide a complementary perspective by offering an alternative assessment of the state of our understanding in high-resolution paleoclimatology for the Common Era and call for future reports to present a more accurate and comprehensive assessment of our knowledge about this important period of human and climate history.
Original languageEnglish
JournalCommunications Earth & Environment
Volume5
Early online date25 Apr 2024
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 25 Apr 2024

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

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