The Gemini Planet Imager Exoplanet Survey: giant planet and brown dwarf demographics from 10 to 100 au

We present a statistical analysis of the first 300 stars observed by the Gemini Planet Imager Exoplanet Survey. This subsample includes six detected planets and three brown dwarfs; from these detections and our contrast curves we infer the underlying distributions of substellar companions with respect to their mass, semimajor axis, and host stellar mass. We uncover a strong correlation between planet occurrence rate and host star mass, with stars M* > 1.5 M⊙ more likely to host planets with masses between 2 and 13M_Jup and semimajor axes of 3–100 au at 99.92% confidence. We fit a double power-law model in planet mass (m) and semimajor axis (a) for planet populations around high-mass stars (M_* > 1.5 M⊙) of the form d²N/(dm da) ∝ m^α a^β, finding α = −2.4 ± 0.8 and β = −2.0 ± 0.5, and an integrated occurrence rate of 9⁺⁵_-4% between 5–13M_Jup and 10–100 au. A significantly lower occurrence rate is obtained for brown dwarfs around all stars, with 0.8^+0.8_-0.5% of stars hosting a brown dwarf companion between 13–80M_Jup and 10–100 au. Brown dwarfs also appear to be distributed differently in mass and semimajor axis compared to giant planets; whereas giant planets follow a bottom-heavy mass distribution and favor smaller semimajor axes, brown dwarfs exhibit just the opposite behaviors. Comparing to studies of short-period giant planets from the radial velocity method, our results are consistent with a peak in occurrence of giant planets between ∼1 and 10 au. We discuss how these trends, including the preference of giant planets for high-mass host stars, point to formation of giant planets by core/pebble accretion, and formation of brown dwarfs by gravitational instability.