STATE-CONTINGENT AND TIME-CONTINGENT SWITCHES OF EXCHANGE-RATE REGIME

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    Abstract

    Recent papers have analysed the effects of Britain's return to gold in 1925. One line of argument has been that the return to gold was a state-contingent regime switch. An alternative view is that it was time-contingent. This paper shows that these approaches are not mutually exclusive. The solution for the exchange rate is derived in a model where a switch to a fixed rate takes place either when a state-contingent trigger is reached or at a fixed time, whichever is the sooner. State-contingent and time-contingent elements are thus combined within the same model.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)361-374
    Number of pages14
    JournalJournal of International Economics
    Volume38
    Issue number3-4
    Publication statusPublished - May 1995

    Keywords

    • REGIME SWITCHES
    • EXCHANGE RATES
    • STOCHASTIC PROCESSES

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