Abstract
India has observed increasingly persistent heat extremes in recent decades. North-Central India, a highly populated region prone to heatwaves, has experienced record maximum temperatures (>48°C) during the pre-monsoon season. While studies have shown positive trends in heatwaves due to rising air temperature, we identify a shift in pre-monsoon mean daily maximum temperature over North-Central India, resulting in an increase in temperature by 0.7°C post-1998. The jump in temperature is associated with a northward migration of the subtropical westerly jet since 1998. We find that the meridional shift in the subtropical westerly jet explains more than 25% of the variability in heatwave characteristics over North-Central India, implying that the increase in heatwaves post-1998 is associated with a northward shift of the jet. These findings highlight that the exacerbation of heatwaves in North-Central India is driven by atmospheric dynamical changes triggered by a regime shift, further compounded by global warming.
Original language | English |
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Article number | e2024GL110486 |
Number of pages | 10 |
Journal | Geophysical Research Letters |
Volume | 51 |
Issue number | 19 |
Early online date | 3 Oct 2024 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 16 Oct 2024 |
Keywords
- Heatwaves
- India
- Regime shift
- Subtropical westerly jet
- Pre-monsoon season
- Northward shift
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Northward shift of pre-monsoon zonal winds exacerbating heatwaves over India
Jha, R. (Creator), Zenodo, 23 Jul 2024
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.12802150, https://zenodo.org/records/12802150
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