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Normal high-sensitivity cardiac troponin for ruling-out inpatient mortality in acute COVID-19

  • Alexander Liu
  • , Robert Hammond
  • , Kenneth Chan
  • , Chukwugozie Chukwuenweniwe
  • , Rebecca Johnson
  • , Duaa Khair
  • , Eleanor Duck
  • , Oluwaseun Olubodun
  • , Kristian Barwick
  • , Winston Banya
  • , James Stirrup
  • , Peter D. Donnelly
  • , Juan Carlos Kaski
  • , Anthony R. M. Coates*
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Introduction

Assessment of inpatient mortality risk in COVID-19 patients is important for guiding clinical decision-making. High sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) is a biomarker of cardiac injury associated with a worse prognosis in COVID-19. We explored how hs-cTnT could potentially be used in clinical practice for ruling in and ruling out mortality in COVID-19.


Method

We tested the diagnostic value of hs-cTnT in laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients (≥18 years old) admitted to the Royal Berkshire Hospital (UK) between 1st March and 10th May 2020. A normal hs-cTnT was defined as a value within the 99th percentile of healthy individuals (≤14 ng/L), and an elevated hs-cTnT was defined as >14 ng/L. Adverse clinical outcome was defined as inpatient mortality related to COVID-19.


Results

A total of 191 COVID-19 patients (62% male; age 66±16 years) had hs-cTnT measured on admission. Of these patients, 124 (65%) had elevated hs-cTnT and 67 (35%) had normal hs-cTnT. On a group level, patients with elevated hs-cTnT had worse inpatient survival (p = 0.0014; Kaplan-Meier analysis) and higher risk of inpatient mortality (HR 5.84 [95% CI 1.29–26.4]; p = 0.02; Cox multivariate regression) compared to patients with normal hs-cTnT. On a per-patient level, a normal hs-cTnT had a negative predictive value of 94% (95% CI: 85–98%) for ruling out mortality, whilst an elevated hs-cTnT had a low positive predictive value of 38% (95% CI: 39–47%) for ruling in mortality.


Conclusions

In this study cohort of COVID-19 patients, the potential clinical utility of hs-cTnT appears to rest in ruling out inpatient mortality. This finding, if prospectively validated in a larger study, may allow hs-cTnT to become an important biomarker to facilitate admission-avoidance and early safe discharge.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere0284523
Number of pages15
JournalPLoS ONE
Volume18
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 21 Apr 2023

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • COVID-19

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