TY - JOUR
T1 - Latent heat must be visible in climate communications
AU - Matthews, Tom
AU - Byrne, Michael
AU - Horton, Radley
AU - Murphy, Conor
AU - Pielke Sr, Roger
AU - Raymond, Colin
AU - Thorne, Peter
AU - Wilby, Robert L.
N1 - C.R.'s portion of the work was carried out at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, under a contract with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (80NM0018D0004). This work used JASMIN, the UK collaborative data analysis facility.
PY - 2022/7/14
Y1 - 2022/7/14
N2 - Anthropogenic forcing is driving energy accumulation in the Earth system, including increases in the sensible
heat content of the atmosphere, as measured by dry-bulb temperature—the
metric that is almost universally used for communications about climate
change. The atmosphere is also moistening, though, representing an
accumulation of latent heat, which is partly concealed by
dry-bulb temperature trends. We highlight that, consistent with basic
theory, latent heat gains are outpacing sensible heat gains over about
half of the Earth's surface. The difference is largest in the tropics,
where global “hotspots” of total heat accumulation are located,
and where regional disparities in heating rates are very poorly
represented by dry-bulb temperatures. Including latent heat in
climate-change metrics captures this heat accumulation and therefore
improves adaptation-relevant understanding of the extreme humid heat and
precipitation hazards that threaten these latitudes so acutely. For
example, irrigation can lower peak dry-bulb temperatures, but amplify
latent heat content by a larger margin, intensifying dangerous heat
stress. Based on a review of the research literature, our Perspective
therefore calls for routine use of equivalent temperature, a measure that expresses the combined sensible and
latent heat content of the atmosphere in the familiar units of °C or K.
We recognize that dry-bulb air temperature must remain a key indicator
of the atmospheric state, not least for the many sectors that are
sensitive to sensible heat transfer. However, we assert here that more
widespread use of equivalent temperature could improve process understanding, public messaging, and adaptation to climate change.
AB - Anthropogenic forcing is driving energy accumulation in the Earth system, including increases in the sensible
heat content of the atmosphere, as measured by dry-bulb temperature—the
metric that is almost universally used for communications about climate
change. The atmosphere is also moistening, though, representing an
accumulation of latent heat, which is partly concealed by
dry-bulb temperature trends. We highlight that, consistent with basic
theory, latent heat gains are outpacing sensible heat gains over about
half of the Earth's surface. The difference is largest in the tropics,
where global “hotspots” of total heat accumulation are located,
and where regional disparities in heating rates are very poorly
represented by dry-bulb temperatures. Including latent heat in
climate-change metrics captures this heat accumulation and therefore
improves adaptation-relevant understanding of the extreme humid heat and
precipitation hazards that threaten these latitudes so acutely. For
example, irrigation can lower peak dry-bulb temperatures, but amplify
latent heat content by a larger margin, intensifying dangerous heat
stress. Based on a review of the research literature, our Perspective
therefore calls for routine use of equivalent temperature, a measure that expresses the combined sensible and
latent heat content of the atmosphere in the familiar units of °C or K.
We recognize that dry-bulb air temperature must remain a key indicator
of the atmospheric state, not least for the many sectors that are
sensitive to sensible heat transfer. However, we assert here that more
widespread use of equivalent temperature could improve process understanding, public messaging, and adaptation to climate change.
KW - Climate change communication
KW - Equivalent temperature
KW - Extreme heat
KW - Heat accumulation
KW - Sensible heat
U2 - 10.1002/wcc.779
DO - 10.1002/wcc.779
M3 - Article
SN - 1757-7780
VL - 13
JO - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
JF - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
IS - 4
M1 - e779
ER -