Intrinsic Bubbles and Mean Reverting Fundamentals

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    Abstract

    'Intrinsic bubbles' (i.e., bubbles which are related only to fundamentals) are considered in a simple asset pricing model where fundamentals follow an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. It is shown that such bubbles imply an explosive path for the expectation of the asset price. It is also shown that the conditional variance of the asset price diverges in finite time. Intrinsic bubbles therefore imply highly nonstationary behaviour for the asset price even when the underlying fundamental to which they are related is stationary.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)163-173
    Number of pages11
    JournalJournal of Monetary Economics
    Volume37
    Publication statusPublished - Feb 1996

    Keywords

    • asset pricing
    • bubbles
    • mean reversion
    • STOCK-PRICES

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