Ethno-Political effects of suburbanization in the Vilnius urban region: an analysis of voting behavior

Rūta Ubarevičienė, Donatas Burneika, Maarten van Ham

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    Abstract

    We use electoral data to analyze the ethno-political consequences that may arise from the fact that the region surrounding the city of Vilnius is dominated by residents with a Polish identity, while those who move to the suburbs are mainly ethnic Lithuanians. In the suburban ring we found increasing voting turnout, a decreasing share of votes for the Polish party, and an increase of the absolute number of votes for this party. The changing electoral behavior might be an indicator of growing ethno-political tensions and the zones of the most intense changes identify areas of potential social tensions between ethnic groups.
    Original languageEnglish
    Number of pages26
    JournalJournal of Baltic Studies
    Early online date1 Apr 2015
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2015

    Keywords

    • Suburbanization
    • Ethnicity
    • Conflict
    • Voting behavoir
    • Electoral data
    • Lithuania

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