Ecological barriers mediate spatiotemporal shifts of bird communities at a continental scale

Emma-Liina Marjakangas; Laura Bosco; Martijn Versluijs; Yanjie Xu; Andrea Santangeli; Sari Holopainen; Sanna Mäkeläinen; Sergi Herrando; Verena Keller; Petr Voříšek; Lluís Brotons; Alison Johnston; Karine Princé; Stephen G Willis; Karen Aghababyan; Vitalie Ajder; Dawn E Balmer; Taulant Bino; Kerem Ali Boyla; Tomasz Chodkiewicz; Juan Carlos Del Moral; Vlatka Dumbović Mazal; Alessandro Ferrarini; Carlos Godinho; Marco Gustin; Mikhail Kalyakin; Peter Knaus; Tatiana Kuzmenko; Åke Lindström; Qenan Maxhuni; Blas Molina; Károly Nagy; Dimitrije Radišić; Saša Rajkov; Draženko Z Rajković; Liutauras Raudoniki; Jovica Sjeničić; Stoycho Stoychev; Tibor Szép; Norbert Teufelbauer; Silvia Ursul; Chris A M van Turnhout; Metodija Velevski; Thomas Vikstrøm; Tomasz Wilk; Olga Voltzit; Ingar Jostein Øien; Christoph Sudfeldt; Bettina Gerlach; Aleksi Lehikoinen

doi:10.1073/pnas.2213330120

Ecological barriers mediate spatiotemporal shifts of bird communities at a continental scale

Emma-Liina Marjakangas, Laura Bosco^*, Martijn Versluijs, Yanjie Xu, Andrea Santangeli, Sari Holopainen, Sanna Mäkeläinen, Sergi Herrando, Verena Keller, Petr Voříšek, Lluís Brotons, Alison Johnston, Karine Princé, Stephen G Willis, Karen Aghababyan, Vitalie Ajder, Dawn E Balmer, Taulant Bino, Kerem Ali Boyla, Tomasz ChodkiewiczJuan Carlos Del Moral, Vlatka Dumbović Mazal, Alessandro Ferrarini, Carlos Godinho, Marco Gustin, Mikhail Kalyakin, Peter Knaus, Tatiana Kuzmenko, Åke Lindström, Qenan Maxhuni, Blas Molina, Károly Nagy, Dimitrije Radišić, Saša Rajkov, Draženko Z Rajković, Liutauras Raudoniki, Jovica Sjeničić, Stoycho Stoychev, Tibor Szép, Norbert Teufelbauer, Silvia Ursul, Chris A M van Turnhout, Metodija Velevski, Thomas Vikstrøm, Tomasz Wilk, Olga Voltzit, Ingar Jostein Øien, Christoph Sudfeldt, Bettina Gerlach, Aleksi Lehikoinen

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

Species' range shifts and local extinctions caused by climate change lead to community composition changes. At large spatial scales, ecological barriers, such as biome boundaries, coastlines, and elevation, can influence a community's ability to shift in response to climate change. Yet, ecological barriers are rarely considered in climate change studies, potentially hindering predictions of biodiversity shifts. We used data from two consecutive European breeding bird atlases to calculate the geographic distance and direction between communities in the 1980s and their compositional best match in the 2010s and modeled their response to barriers. The ecological barriers affected both the distance and direction of bird community composition shifts, with coastlines and elevation having the strongest influence. Our results underscore the relevance of combining ecological barriers and community shift projections for identifying the forces hindering community adjustments under global change. Notably, due to (macro)ecological barriers, communities are not able to track their climatic niches, which may lead to drastic changes, and potential losses, in community compositions in the future.

Original language	English
Article number	e2213330120
Number of pages	10
Journal	Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Volume	120
Issue number	23
Early online date	30 May 2023
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2213330120
Publication status	Published - 6 Jun 2023

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 13 Climate Action

Keywords

Ecosystem
Distribution shift
Birds - physiology
Community composition
Climate Change
Biodiversity
Animals
Jaccard dissimilarity
Macroecology
Resistance
Forecasting

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Marjakangas, E.-L., Bosco, L., Versluijs, M., Xu, Y., Santangeli, A., Holopainen, S., Mäkeläinen, S., Herrando, S., Keller, V., Voříšek, P., Brotons, L., Johnston, A., Princé, K., Willis, S. G., Aghababyan, K., Ajder, V., Balmer, D. E., Bino, T., Boyla, K. A., ... Lehikoinen, A. (2023). Ecological barriers mediate spatiotemporal shifts of bird communities at a continental scale. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 120(23), Article e2213330120. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2213330120

@article{7dcbde69e4714769a065994fba5effa0,

title = "Ecological barriers mediate spatiotemporal shifts of bird communities at a continental scale",

abstract = "Species' range shifts and local extinctions caused by climate change lead to community composition changes. At large spatial scales, ecological barriers, such as biome boundaries, coastlines, and elevation, can influence a community's ability to shift in response to climate change. Yet, ecological barriers are rarely considered in climate change studies, potentially hindering predictions of biodiversity shifts. We used data from two consecutive European breeding bird atlases to calculate the geographic distance and direction between communities in the 1980s and their compositional best match in the 2010s and modeled their response to barriers. The ecological barriers affected both the distance and direction of bird community composition shifts, with coastlines and elevation having the strongest influence. Our results underscore the relevance of combining ecological barriers and community shift projections for identifying the forces hindering community adjustments under global change. Notably, due to (macro)ecological barriers, communities are not able to track their climatic niches, which may lead to drastic changes, and potential losses, in community compositions in the future.",

keywords = "Ecosystem, Distribution shift, Birds - physiology, Community composition, Climate Change, Biodiversity, Animals, Jaccard dissimilarity, Macroecology, Resistance, Forecasting",

author = "Emma-Liina Marjakangas and Laura Bosco and Martijn Versluijs and Yanjie Xu and Andrea Santangeli and Sari Holopainen and Sanna M{\"a}kel{\"a}inen and Sergi Herrando and Verena Keller and Petr Vo{\v r}{\'i}{\v s}ek and Llu{\'i}s Brotons and Alison Johnston and Karine Princ{\'e} and Willis, \{Stephen G\} and Karen Aghababyan and Vitalie Ajder and Balmer, \{Dawn E\} and Taulant Bino and Boyla, \{Kerem Ali\} and Tomasz Chodkiewicz and \{Del Moral\}, \{Juan Carlos\} and Mazal, \{Vlatka Dumbovi{\'c}\} and Alessandro Ferrarini and Carlos Godinho and Marco Gustin and Mikhail Kalyakin and Peter Knaus and Tatiana Kuzmenko and {\AA}ke Lindstr{\"o}m and Qenan Maxhuni and Blas Molina and K{\'a}roly Nagy and Dimitrije Radi{\v s}i{\'c} and Sa{\v s}a Rajkov and Rajkovi{\'c}, \{Dra{\v z}enko Z\} and Liutauras Raudoniki and Jovica Sjeni{\v c}i{\'c} and Stoycho Stoychev and Tibor Sz{\'e}p and Norbert Teufelbauer and Silvia Ursul and \{van Turnhout\}, \{Chris A M\} and Metodija Velevski and Thomas Vikstr{\o}m and Tomasz Wilk and Olga Voltzit and {\O}ien, \{Ingar Jostein\} and Christoph Sudfeldt and Bettina Gerlach and Aleksi Lehikoinen",

note = "Funding: This study was supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation (grant P2BEP3\_195232) and by the Academy of Finland (project 323527 and project 329251).",

year = "2023",

month = jun,

day = "6",

doi = "10.1073/pnas.2213330120",

language = "English",

volume = "120",

journal = "Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences",

issn = "1091-6490",

publisher = "National Academy of Sciences",

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Marjakangas, E-L, Bosco, L, Versluijs, M, Xu, Y, Santangeli, A, Holopainen, S, Mäkeläinen, S, Herrando, S, Keller, V, Voříšek, P, Brotons, L, Johnston, A, Princé, K, Willis, SG, Aghababyan, K, Ajder, V, Balmer, DE, Bino, T, Boyla, KA, Chodkiewicz, T, Del Moral, JC, Mazal, VD, Ferrarini, A, Godinho, C, Gustin, M, Kalyakin, M, Knaus, P, Kuzmenko, T, Lindström, Å, Maxhuni, Q, Molina, B, Nagy, K, Radišić, D, Rajkov, S, Rajković, DZ, Raudoniki, L, Sjeničić, J, Stoychev, S, Szép, T, Teufelbauer, N, Ursul, S, van Turnhout, CAM, Velevski, M, Vikstrøm, T, Wilk, T, Voltzit, O, Øien, IJ, Sudfeldt, C, Gerlach, B & Lehikoinen, A 2023, 'Ecological barriers mediate spatiotemporal shifts of bird communities at a continental scale', Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 120, no. 23, e2213330120. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2213330120

TY - JOUR

T1 - Ecological barriers mediate spatiotemporal shifts of bird communities at a continental scale

AU - Marjakangas, Emma-Liina

AU - Bosco, Laura

AU - Versluijs, Martijn

AU - Xu, Yanjie

AU - Santangeli, Andrea

AU - Holopainen, Sari

AU - Mäkeläinen, Sanna

AU - Herrando, Sergi

AU - Keller, Verena

AU - Voříšek, Petr

AU - Brotons, Lluís

AU - Johnston, Alison

AU - Princé, Karine

AU - Willis, Stephen G

AU - Aghababyan, Karen

AU - Ajder, Vitalie

AU - Balmer, Dawn E

AU - Bino, Taulant

AU - Boyla, Kerem Ali

AU - Chodkiewicz, Tomasz

AU - Del Moral, Juan Carlos

AU - Mazal, Vlatka Dumbović

AU - Ferrarini, Alessandro

AU - Godinho, Carlos

AU - Gustin, Marco

AU - Kalyakin, Mikhail

AU - Knaus, Peter

AU - Kuzmenko, Tatiana

AU - Lindström, Åke

AU - Maxhuni, Qenan

AU - Molina, Blas

AU - Nagy, Károly

AU - Radišić, Dimitrije

AU - Rajkov, Saša

AU - Rajković, Draženko Z

AU - Raudoniki, Liutauras

AU - Sjeničić, Jovica

AU - Stoychev, Stoycho

AU - Szép, Tibor

AU - Teufelbauer, Norbert

AU - Ursul, Silvia

AU - van Turnhout, Chris A M

AU - Velevski, Metodija

AU - Vikstrøm, Thomas

AU - Wilk, Tomasz

AU - Voltzit, Olga

AU - Øien, Ingar Jostein

AU - Sudfeldt, Christoph

AU - Gerlach, Bettina

AU - Lehikoinen, Aleksi

N1 - Funding: This study was supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation (grant P2BEP3_195232) and by the Academy of Finland (project 323527 and project 329251).

PY - 2023/6/6

Y1 - 2023/6/6

N2 - Species' range shifts and local extinctions caused by climate change lead to community composition changes. At large spatial scales, ecological barriers, such as biome boundaries, coastlines, and elevation, can influence a community's ability to shift in response to climate change. Yet, ecological barriers are rarely considered in climate change studies, potentially hindering predictions of biodiversity shifts. We used data from two consecutive European breeding bird atlases to calculate the geographic distance and direction between communities in the 1980s and their compositional best match in the 2010s and modeled their response to barriers. The ecological barriers affected both the distance and direction of bird community composition shifts, with coastlines and elevation having the strongest influence. Our results underscore the relevance of combining ecological barriers and community shift projections for identifying the forces hindering community adjustments under global change. Notably, due to (macro)ecological barriers, communities are not able to track their climatic niches, which may lead to drastic changes, and potential losses, in community compositions in the future.

AB - Species' range shifts and local extinctions caused by climate change lead to community composition changes. At large spatial scales, ecological barriers, such as biome boundaries, coastlines, and elevation, can influence a community's ability to shift in response to climate change. Yet, ecological barriers are rarely considered in climate change studies, potentially hindering predictions of biodiversity shifts. We used data from two consecutive European breeding bird atlases to calculate the geographic distance and direction between communities in the 1980s and their compositional best match in the 2010s and modeled their response to barriers. The ecological barriers affected both the distance and direction of bird community composition shifts, with coastlines and elevation having the strongest influence. Our results underscore the relevance of combining ecological barriers and community shift projections for identifying the forces hindering community adjustments under global change. Notably, due to (macro)ecological barriers, communities are not able to track their climatic niches, which may lead to drastic changes, and potential losses, in community compositions in the future.

KW - Ecosystem

KW - Distribution shift

KW - Birds - physiology

KW - Community composition

KW - Climate Change

KW - Biodiversity

KW - Animals

KW - Jaccard dissimilarity

KW - Macroecology

KW - Resistance

KW - Forecasting

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85160673652

U2 - 10.1073/pnas.2213330120

DO - 10.1073/pnas.2213330120

M3 - Article

C2 - 37252949

SN - 1091-6490

VL - 120

JO - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

JF - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

IS - 23

M1 - e2213330120

ER -

Ecological barriers mediate spatiotemporal shifts of bird communities at a continental scale

Abstract

UN SDGs

Keywords

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