CONTRACTS, CREDIBILITY, AND COMMON KNOWLEDGE - THEIR INFLUENCE ON INFLATION CONVERGENCE

M MILLER, A SUTHERLAND

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    Abstract

    In this paper, three possible reasons are examined for a sluggish inflation response to a hard-currency peg. Models of overlapping wage contracts are analyzed and shown to generate little inertia. These findings are contrasted with the effects of government credibility and the speed of private sector learning, which are shown to have a major impact on the speed of inflation adjustment. But even if individual agents believe the government will not devalue its currency, it is shown that inflation inertia can still arise if these expectations are not common knowledge.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)178-201
    Number of pages24
    JournalStaff Papers - International Monetary Fund
    Volume40
    Issue number1
    Publication statusPublished - Mar 1993

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