@article{5088dc10e4924cbe9298670d7986706d,
title = "An astronomically dated record of Earth's climate and its predictability over the last 66 million years",
abstract = "Much of our understanding of Earth's past climate comes from the measurement of oxygen and carbon isotope variations in deep-sea benthic foraminifera. Yet, long intervals in existing records lack the temporal resolution and age control needed to thoroughly categorize climate states of the Cenozoic era and to study their dynamics. Here, we present a new, highly resolved, astronomically dated, continuous composite of benthic foraminifer isotope records developed in our laboratories. Four climate states-Hothouse, Warmhouse, Coolhouse, Icehouse-are identified on the basis of their distinctive response to astronomical forcing depending on greenhouse gas concentrations and polar ice sheet volume. Statistical analysis of the nonlinear behavior encoded in our record reveals the key role that polar ice volume plays in the predictability of Cenozoic climate dynamics.",
author = "Thomas Westerhold and Norbert Marwan and Drury, {Anna Joy} and Diederik Liebrand and Claudia Agnini and Eleni Anagnostou and Barnet, {James S.K.} and Bohaty, {Steven M.} and {De Vleeschouwer}, David and Fabio Florindo and Thomas Frederichs and Hodell, {David A.} and Holbourn, {Ann E.} and Dick Kroon and Vittoria Lauretano and Kate Littler and Lourens, {Lucas J.} and Mitchell Lyle and Heiko P{\"a}like and Ursula R{\"o}hl and Jun Tian and Wilkens, {Roy H.} and Wilson, {Paul A.} and Zachos, {James C.}",
note = "Funding for this research was provided by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) to T.W. (project nos. 320221997, 242225091), U.R. (project nos. 5410858, 28504316, 179386126, 242241969, 320221997), and A.E.H. (project nos. 48739182, 224193684, and 142157224); the Natural Environmental Research Council (NERC) to D.A.H.; the DFG (project nos. 386137731, 405856037) and the European Union{\textquoteright}s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under grant agreement no. 820970 to N.M.; the DFG (project no. 408101468) and the European Union{\textquoteright}s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement (no. 796220) to A.J.D.; the National Science Foundation of China (grant no. 41525020, 41776051) to J.T.); the NERC Isotope Geosciences Facility at the British Geological Survey (IP‐1581–1115) to J.S.K.B. and K.L.); the NWO-ALW grant (project no. 865.10.001) and Netherlands Earth System Science Centre (gravitation grant no. 024.002.001 to L.J.L.; and the NSF (grant no. EAR-0628719) to J.C.Z. Funded through the Cluster of Excellence “The Ocean Floor – Earth{\textquoteright}s Uncharted Interface” (research unit Recorder).",
year = "2020",
month = sep,
day = "11",
doi = "10.1126/science.aba6853",
language = "English",
volume = "369",
pages = "1383--1387",
journal = "Science",
issn = "0036-8075",
publisher = "American Association for the Advancement of Science",
number = "6509",
}