Bart Danon, Daniel Jew, Myles Patrick Lavan

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter


This short chapter recapitulates the substantive advances made by the individual chapters in this volume before closing remarks on the difference between using probability to represent epistemic uncertainty and modelling variability, two exercises that are easily confused, and on the use of models to answer historical questions.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationThe uncertain past
Subtitle of host publicationprobability in ancient history
EditorsMyles Lavan, Daniel Jew, Bart Danon
Place of PublicationCambridge
PublisherCambridge University Press
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781009121873
ISBN (Print)9781009100656
Publication statusPublished - 1 Dec 2022


  • Uncertainty
  • Variability
  • Probability
  • Modelling
  • Ancient history
  • Monte Carlo simulation
  • Evidence
  • Probability density function (PDF)
  • Estimate
  • Historiography

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